Why not, nice reversal !

Check Monday's blog, there you can find ranges and/or targets and Tuesday's blog  where you have sentiment chart and a chart of S&P 500 to get better understanding and an insight of where we are at the moment. For most people at this juncture the best thing might be to be in cash. 

What I learned from George Soros.

"The worse a situation becomes the less it
takes to turn it around, the bigger the upside."
Think about it !

The American Tourist and the Mexican Fisherman.

An American tourist was at the pier of a small coastal Mexican village when a small boat with just one fisherman docked.

Inside the small boat were several large yellowfin tuna. The tourist complimented the Mexican on the quality of his fish and asked how long it took to catch them.

The Mexican replied, “Only a little while.”

The tourist then asked, “Why didn’t you stay out longer and catch more fish?”

The Mexican said, “With this I have more than enough to support my family’s needs.”

The tourist then asked, “But what do you do with the rest of your time?”

The Mexican fisherman said, “I sleep late, fish a little, play with my children, take siesta with my wife, Maria, stroll into the village each evening where I sip wine and play guitar with my amigos, I have a full and busy life.”

The tourist scoffed, ” I can help you. You should spend more time fishing; and with the proceeds, buy a bigger boat: With the proceeds from the bigger boat you could buy several boats. Eventually you would have a fleet of fishing boats. Instead of selling your catch to a middleman you would sell directly to the processor; eventually opening your own cannery. You would control the product, processing and distribution. You could leave this small coastal fishing village and move to Mexico City, then Los Angeles and eventually New York where you could run your ever-expanding enterprise.”

The Mexican fisherman asked, “But, how long will this all take?”

The tourist replied, “15 to 20 years.”

“But what then?” asked the Mexican.

The tourist laughed and said, “That’s the best part. When the time is right you would sell your company stock to the public and become very rich, you would make millions.”

“Millions?…Then what?”

The American said, “Then you would retire. Move to a small coastal fishing village where you would sleep late, fish a little, play with your kids, take siesta with your wife, stroll to the village in the evenings where you could sip wine and play your guitar with your amigos.”

Think about your goals and what will you become, do, and have when you achieve them. Enjoy !

Up auction continues.

Similar price action as yesterday, first we had a gap up in price, but after half an hour of buying, selling started and continued for an hour and a half, then bulls came back and took control. Plus we had some help from Treasury operations today buying coupons. Today we crossed that very important 200dma S&P and now we'll see what happens next. There is lots of noise out there, but as always, the best thing to do is to focus on the price action above all else. 

A chilling similarity.

you can click on the chart to enlarge it

China's Gold Imports Jump Sixfold

http://www.cnbc.com/id/45198734

Interesting.

The 3 day tight range.

The market produced another positive day today and up auction continue. 

Now we have a relatively tight range to watch, resistance 

( Oct., last swing highs ) to be taken out or support ( Nov. 1st lows ) to be broken. 

Linkedin is a recent IPO that is worth watching.

Follow up on shipping.

Reaching for the stars !

We have a target, first 200dma and then Oct. highs. We have a support around Tuesday's lows. Today's action showed buyers are in control and up auction continues for now.

Attitudes are more important than facts !

According to recognized aeronautical tests, the Bumble Bee cannot fly because of the shape and weight of his body in relation to his total wing area. The Bumble Bee doesn't know this, so he goes ahead and flies anyway.

In trading your attitudes and beliefs are very important. Below are some of my trading believes to help you start thinking about your attitudes and believes.

I believe that the market is discounted mechanism, meaning the information is already priced into the market.
I believe that patterns repeat themselves because crowds behave in the same way, not individuals, but crowds do.
I believe the markets are ether consolidating or trending.
I believe the future is unknown.

The Plan.

I like to plan my trades before I enter them and write the plans on paper with a pen [writing the plans on excel spread sheets on my computer do not evoke the same feelings in me]; this allows me to have the plan in front of me and I can 'follow along' as the trade unfolds. If I get anxious or if I walk out of the game room and come back in and need to refresh my mind, the plan is there in front me: I simply look at the plan and go back to executing the original plan. Plan, if you stick with it, take many of the emotions out of your trading.  

There is nothing more bullish to a market than sold out bulls. There is nothing more bearish than covered bears.

30min.view , potential head & shoulders setup that would be confirmed by breaking this week's lows
                                                                   
                                                                                OR

daily view , we can trade above last week's highs and the 200dma

VIX is up 42% since Friday's close.

That kind of move tends more often than not to produce a bounce in the market.

Watching to see if the market can stabilize itself and then begin to form a base support suggesting that a higher low is being formed.

Time to rest.

Limit losses, ride profits-regardless of all other rules.

This is the simplest, basic and the best rule you can follow. I'm always glad when I execute it efficiently. Do all you can to gain as much when you are right and to lose as little as possible when you are wrong-regardless of all other rules.

Today the market produced a positive price follow through from the breakout.

Trend following idea, not sexy but could be profitable. Today we had a buyable gap-up with defined fail-safe point at 15.67 or 16.10 whatever is better for your risk budget.

Above chart is showing an "all time high" idea from the shipping sector. Note, an idea is not the same as the plan, you need to know your risk point and your potential profit taking point and you need to risk enough to be meaningful to you if you profit but small enough that you can accept the loss if your edge doesn't work this time.

Remember: The market alternates between range expansion and range contraction. 

The information contained herein is for educational purposes only and is not, and should not be construed as an offer to hold, sell or an offer to buy any securities.

Up and down and all around.

Today we had a news that "Europe will be saved" and that helped bulls to take control again. Tomorrow is another day and anything can happen. We can break above Monday's high or we can go below today's low. More news from Europe, more earnings, GDP and jobless claims are all going to add the fuel to the move.
If you are bearish here remember that operation "Twist" or QE3 began on Oct. 4, 2011 and the market has gone up since with no or little pause. I'm going into tomorrow with neutral bias, and try to stay in the moment of opportunity flow, trading my patterns as they develop.