“bandwagon” theory

Traders often hear about “tulip mania,” the “South Sea bubble” and other similar events where traders have followed the crowd to send prices to extreme levels. You might add the technology dot.com bubble of the late 1990s or the more recent housing bubble to the list of those events where traders got carried away with higher and higher prices. Everyone wanted to be part of the action – the “crowd psychology” or “bandwagon” theory. The same type of crowd response applies to price action on a smaller scale, too. For example, when a market is coming up from a basing area on the charts, “smart money” is responsible for the majority of the initial buying. As people jump on board, we see the bandwagon effect, and that bandwagon pushes prices up. Volume tends to surge at its peak, certainly on the buy side, during the markup phase in the middle. Later, toward the end of the trend, smart money is not doing the buying; somebody else is. The smart money is doing the selling. The market tops by rolling over or sometimes with a spike top. We can see the crowd impact expressed in price and in volume. Just think about what happens among professional traders when the stock market goes up even when the fundamentals don’t provide much support for such a move. Prices often rise because institutional money managers feel pressured to follow the crowd and chase performance. How can they explain why their results are below the industry benchmarks if they don’t go with the crowd and buy the stocks everyone else has in their portfolios? That rationale alone can drive markets higher than they “should” go.

trend trading, momentum, swing, price action, trading futures & equities

"If you are ready to give up everything else - to study the whole history and background of the market ... as a medical student studies anatomy. If you can do all that, and, in addition, you have the cool nerves of a gambler, the sixth sense of a kind of clairvoyant, and the courage of a lion, you have a ghost of a chance." 
---Bernard Baruch

I think that expertise is the connection between knowing and doing.

"Some degree of derivative learning is necessary - BUT - much learning does not teach understanding. Only through experience and extensive practice and application will understanding and expertise arise."

-Heraclitus, 475 BC

New trader to Master Trader:

 "Sir, what is the secret of your success"? "Two words."

"And, sir, what are they?" "Right decisions."

"And how do you make the right decisions." "One word."

"And, sir, what is that one word?" "Experience."

"And, sir, how do you get experience?" "Two words."

"And, sir, what are those two words?" "Wrong decisions."

S&P 500 cash market analysis and outlook

the line of least resistance is upward and this pullback is going to present us with a new menu with new low risk setups, manage open positions and be patient with initiating new ones, and for you that want to short now, plain and simple don't, if the market is going to tank there is going to be plenty of time to get on board, read the post below and don't predict, but follow your proven game plan

“Those who have knowledge, don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have knowledge.”

~Lao Tzu

Are you prepared ?

"Being prepared, on a few occasions in a lifetime, to act promptly in scale in doing some simple and logical thing will often dramatically improve the financial results of that lifetime. A few major opportunities, clearly recognisable as such, will usually come to one who continuously searches and waits, with a curious mind, loving diagnosis involving multiple variables. And then all that is required is a willingness to bet heavily when the odds are extremely favourable, using resources available as a result of prudence and patience in the past."

- Charlie Munger

UNG - b - now

above weekly view and below daily charts

higher low, buyable gap ( above 50 sma ), and now a breakout through last swing high, trend changes at this point on daily time frame, now looking for follow through and for the price to accelerate higher, and then to have an orderly pullback


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“If you realize that all things change, there is nothing you will try to hold on to. If you are not afraid of dying, there is nothing you cannot achieve.”

~ Lao Tzu

as long as we're hitting new highs upward trend continues

at this time the trend is up and we don't fight the trend, if you have some shorts on keep the stops tight

What to do now? Wait for a pullback, if we get it, to initiate new long positions and wait for new shorts for now as it doesn't pay to fight the trend.

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sitting on your hands

waiting looks as the best action right now, hopefully next several days of price action will resolve situation and give us a new trend and new opportunities, make sure you wait for follow through ~ read below post, the art of useful waiting