Wednesday, 22 June 2016
"My view is that a trader should not attempt to maximize profits on any given government report, event, day, week, month or even year — but to construct risk management practices geared to the longevity of market speculation over decades. Accordingly, I have covered all financially related positions."
Tuesday, 14 June 2016
Friday, 3 June 2016
Wednesday, 1 June 2016
Monday, 30 May 2016
Saturday, 28 May 2016
Tuesday, 24 May 2016
If we look back at 2010 we can see a lot of similarities.
Stocks were hammered in the first half of 2010 by the potential default of Greece - and for energy stocks, the oil spill in the Gulf. The macro clouds were removed, and in the second half of 2010, the S&P 500 rallied from down 7% to up 15% by year end.
The Russell 2000 was down 6% for the year through July of 2010. Over the next five months it rallied 34 percentage points to finish UP 27% on the year.
What about energy? After being down 12% in the first half of 2010, the XLE (the energy ETF tied to a basket of energy stocks) returned 34% off the bottom and 22% for the year.
Also remember, in Fed tightening cycles, stocks tend to go UP not down. We’re officially five months into a Fed tightening cycle and stocks are basically flat.
The Russell 2000 was down 6% for the year through July of 2010. Over the next five months it rallied 34 percentage points to finish UP 27% on the year.
What about energy? After being down 12% in the first half of 2010, the XLE (the energy ETF tied to a basket of energy stocks) returned 34% off the bottom and 22% for the year.
Also remember, in Fed tightening cycles, stocks tend to go UP not down. We’re officially five months into a Fed tightening cycle and stocks are basically flat.
.Patience required.
Since the Fed said the market was not giving enough weight to a rate hike this June, the market has stalled out with volumes drying up considerably on most stocks and few gains to be had.
Monday, 23 May 2016
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