trading

trading

Wednesday 21 March 2012

markets now


The short-lived pullback and subsequent reversal didn’t do much other than perhaps work off some of the overbought condition on Monday. As of this morning, we don’t have any new patterns to work with other than the overall trend, and while yesterday’s pullback failed to do much damage, it still invalidated Monday's breakout for Russell which is still important. While this divergence does not take priority over the continued strong price action, the bulls still needs to see that breakout occur as it will provide confirmation and increase overall probability that we will see the S&Ps rally extend itself back to the 2007 / 2008 highs.
While the market held firm again in yesterday’s weak pullback attempt, the intraday price action has become too difficult to navigate profitably as pattern failures are becoming more common in the whippy, low-volume, program-controlled action. This provides us a small tell that we could be starting to transition into a different environment than what we’ve seen, so must have patience here and use selective positioning until we have some better patterns to work with beyond just the intraday setups that come our way. 

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