trading strategies that work now ~ LN - TWLO

samples of buying logical support levels and unloading today into highs

trading strategies that work now

"Two major strategies that have yielded good stock profits even in these QE-manipulated markets"

Markets have a natural rhythm to them, an ebb and flow if you will. In today's markets, we have long advocated 1) buying on constructive weakness and 2) selling into strength should the stock price get ahead of itself. We run our screens throughout the trading day in search of such stocks with the best risk/reward profiles. Two important themes: •The closer one buys a stock as it pulls back to a logical area of support, the less risk since one's sell stop is well defined. •The stronger the prior price move in the stock, the greater the odds of the stock continuing to exhibit such price strength when it launches again.

"A big trading score requires far more than the desire to make it happen, perseverance, incredible patience, discernment, boldness and the right trading tactics. It requires the right markets at the right time in a trader’s career – and that is largely a function of luck. Without the intervention of providence no amount of desire/boldness/trading tactics will make it happen."

Deutsche Bank

 DB is trading near all-time lows, well below the lows it reached in the debt crisis of 2008. DB is currently approximately 92% off its prior highs reached in 2007.

"study covered the 88-year period from 1927 to 2014 ~ evidence that supports the view that time-series momentum (also referred to as trend-following) is one of the few investment factors that meet five important criteria for inclusion in a portfolio"

http://www.etf.com/sections/index-investor-corner/swedroe-persistent-kind-momentum?nopaging=1

"momentum is clearly based on behavioral explanations, including herding, anchoring, confirmation bias and the disposition effect. Because momentum has performed well historically, it’s clear that these behavioral biases have likely existed for a long time. And human behaviors tend to persist even after the biases are discovered and made well known. After all, that’s what makes us human."

http://www.etf.com/sections/index-investor-corner/swedroe-why-momentum-struggling?nopaging=1

It’s that time of year when stocks are usually weak and often strength does not return until mid-October when earnings start to come out again.

Trend is still down. Enjoy the ride.

               looks like we'll finish with an inside day at weekly support area

What do you think? Time to .....

Trend is now down. Enjoy the ride.

PVG.TO : hello

      now looks like a two legged pullback in a bull move with DB and a LLMTR, and acting like a buyable 50% retracement from the prior leg up, possible support area

The information contained herein is for educational purposes only and is not, and should not be construed as an offer to hold, sell or an offer to buy any securities.

markets now

 AT SUPPORT

?

"Ordinary efforts tire us. Extraordinary efforts in the service of deeply held ideals energize us. When we tackle extreme challenges for extremely meaningful causes, we tap into hidden wellsprings of energy. It is that second wind that fuels outstanding performance and creative achievement."

Robert FREY - 180 years of Market Drawdowns

 180 years of Market Drawdowns


“Most of the time even when we are in a good investment, we are in a state of regret."

“You are going to bed with an upset stomach because you have lost money most of the time and do not know what is going to happen”

“You are in a drawdown state 80% of the time and of that, you are in a severe drawdown state (greater than -20%) 67% of the time”

“Most of the time an investor is facing a market of regret…”

Trend is up to sideways. Enjoy the ride.

                             

  is this a finl flag and a beginning of a pullback or it's going to go higher first before it corrects, could keep going sideways for a bit more here,  let the market tell you what to do

gbpnzd

Choose yourself | James Altucher | TEDxSanDiego

GBPNZD

       

possible reversal; a low probability and high risk reward opportunity, success rate 40%

            The information contained herein is for educational purposes only and is not, and should not be construed as an offer to hold, sell or an offer to buy any securities.
                   

Trend is still up. Enjoy the ride.

Black Swan rally?

"Everyone knows that the Emini needs a pullback after so many weeks up without one. The stops are far below. Bulls have big open profits. They have to reduce risk, and the easiest way is to take profits. That selling creates the pullback. Whenever anything is obvious, traders need to pay particular attention to the opposite.

When there is high probability one way, there is low probability the other way. Hence, everyone ignores the low probability direction. If the market begins to go in the low probability direction, traders are in denial. However, this results in bears trapped in as they sell new highs. Bulls don’t buy because they also think the rally will fail.

However, even a little rally can be enough to quickly make the bulls and bears worried. Both will begin to buy, and then buy in a panic. Hence, the low probability event can quickly turn into a rally that can continue up for a long time. Bears keep selling, picking tops, bulls keep scalping out. Yet, there is not enough selling to turn the market down. Bulls and bears therefore have to keep buying as the market goes up. Sometimes the buying is climactic. Other times it is a small pullback bull trend. If the Emini continues up above 2220, it might go up to 2400 before pulling back."

"Momentum investors are like the surfers we watch from beaches along the Pacific coast. Both must catch a wave. Both attempt to ride it as it breaks. But the ability to glide away smoothly before being caught inside the inevitable crash(ing wave) that follows is what determines success."

http://www.etf.com/sections/features-and-news/how-not-wipe-out-momentum?nopaging=1