trading

trading

Friday 29 April 2011

"consolidating"





"breakouts lead to trends, trends lead to extremes, extremes lead to backing and filling, backing and filling leads to consolidation, consolidations lead to breakouts"
Wash, Rinse, and Repeat.

check blogs,  March 31, China capping its annual rare earth output.
                     April 4,  Why can't most people buy the all time high ?



The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an offer to buy any securities

follow up, " Pivotal Points "





Possible change in basic market direction, and the perfect psychological moment to act at the beginning of a new move. maybe!



The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an offer to buy any securities

follow up, breakout through "pivot buy pint"







The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an offer to buy any securities

Thursday 28 April 2011

First thing first. Before we make money

Everything starts with a belief system, as it determines our experiences in life and trading.
We don't trade the markets, we trade our beliefs about the markets. Knowing that, we have to have a plan that is supported by our beliefs or we have to change our beliefs in order to get results we want. Desired results are therefore the starting point in developing our trading plan and dictate the plan we chose.

" Pivotal Points "





There are  market patterns that work as I have observed and learned. One involves a market rising from a bottom, and another one is a falling market. Basically, the trend is your friend. Moderation and Patience for Confirmation are required for that style of trading.



The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an offer to buy any securities

Wednesday 27 April 2011

"gaps"



check blog : March 28

Is there a viable way to trade gaps ? 

Basing after big run.




    Moved over 500% in 10 month since its IPO, and is in the top group, and is in the normal basing process.
      BSFT is expected to announce its earnings before open on Mon. May 9.



The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as an offer to hold, sell or an offer to buy any securities

"Constructive base"



Polypore International (PPO) has been consistent leader since the beginning of this upward trending market and is in a top group. Earnings release is expected after the close on Wed. May 4.


The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an offer to buy any securities

U.S. Dollar Index



The path of least resistance is downward.

After Bernanke's press conference.





The dollar continued lower while precious metals headed higher. The general market headed higher as well. In other words, the market sees a continuation of devaluation, money printing, and rising prices.

"road to truth"


"There are two mistakes one can make
                                                         along the road to truth - not going all
                                                           the way, and not starting." - Buddha

                                                               Illustration by jared@flickr

Monday 25 April 2011

Silver







While the secular bull market in precious metals remains intact, and silver is still well under its inflation adjusted peak price of $129.59 achieved in 1980, silver is highly volatile, typically moving two to four times the moves of gold, thus it is prudent to keep a close eye on signs of intermediate term tops especially after the huge move we have seen in silver.



The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as an offer to hold or an offer to sell or an offer to buy any securities.

Monday 18 April 2011

The day ahead.

http://www.reuters.com/news/video/story?videoId=204360975&videoChannel=5

Will the US lose its triple-A rating ?

Standard & Poors today said there was a one-in-three chance it would lower the U.S.'s long-term triple-A rating within two years. The ratings company cited lack of action taken by U.S. fiscal policy makers, particularly compared to other countries.

An eventual US downgrade would further catalyze China to decouple the yuan from the dollar, continue their consumption of hard assets, and thus potentially enable China to unload U.S. treasuries faster. With each passing day, the chances of the dollar losing its status as the world's reserve currency increases. It may take a number of years for this to occur, but the clock is ticking.

Education.


In the late 1990s, Long Term Capital Management found out the hard way that educational pedigree and mathematical genius (even with a Nobel Prize) is no match for the market—demonstrating that theories and the real world can decouple in a very ugly way.



The stock market does not care how educated you are or whether you have a PhD.  In the market, we all go back to the grade one and have to learn and earn our way to the top. If you've made up your mind you can do something, you're absolutely right.

On being wrong.





No one likes to be wrong, but everyone is wrong at least some of the time. Some people are unwilling to face that fundamental fact of life. In the market, those who can't admit mistakes end up going broke.

Reversal ?





Quantitative easing (QE) remains in effect until at least June, so if history is any guide, downside could be limited to -10% in the NASDAQ Composite. The only time since QE began that the NASDAQ corrected more than -10% was in May 2010 when QE was halted for a few months.


Check market internals,  http://finance.yahoo.com/advances, to further your insight into the market.