In summary, institutional cash, which is often deployed heavily at the end of January and the beginning of February, came rushing into the market. In just four trading days, SP-500 had recovered all of the losses and had closed at a new all- time high. SP-500 bottomed out almost right at 3700 on Friday, January 29th, so that is support. There is also support below that, at 3630. That is the one that is more important, because a violation of that level would take the market below its December lows typically the sign of an emerging bear market. For now, the line of least resistance is to the upside, so stay long and enjoy the ride.

Stay alert.

"Focus."

Where to focus:

For the beginner, execution.

For the intermediate, strategy.

For the expert, mindset.

 

In summary, stocks have struggled this week, but the SP-500 has managed to remain above support and the chart is still bullish, and that is the most important indicator.

In summary, SP-500 remains positive, so bullish positions should continue to be held -- rolling up and/or raising trailing stops.

There is a lot of negative "noise," but all one really needs to know is that the chart of SP-500 (and the others) remains strongly positive. The first support level is at 3725-3750. Below there, the next support area is 3630-3650.

"History repeats itself, that's one of the things that's wrong with history.”

#2 - On a Journey.

You have been sent on a journey. You had no choice about when or where it started. You don't know when, where or how it will end. You have no map. All you know for sure is that it's bound to end sometime. There are rules that apply to this journey, but you've had to learn them as you go. And you cannot control them. You may not even know the purpose of the journey, even though others claim to know.

All you know that once started, you must continue every day, whether you feel like it or not. You start with no possessions, and when you finish you have to turn in all you have accumulated. In the end, say some, you will be rewarded or punished. But how do they know for sure? 

That's life, my friends, and you cannot change it. A little faith and a sense of humor, fortunately, help cushion some of the bumps. 

Years ago, the great Sir John Templeton said, “The secret of my success is that I buy when everyone is selling, and I sell when everyone is buying.”

Let’s consider the optimism that exists everywhere at the moment.

Today, optimism on the U.S. equity markets has rarely, if ever, been this bullish. Two words: “All in!”

Valuations are extremely high. Forward coming returns are likely flat to negative over the coming years.

If there was ever a Sir John “sell when everyone is buying” moment, it’s now. If there was ever a time to hedge, it’s now. Down 50% to 60% remains a real risk. We may go higher… the Fed may decide to step in and buy equities. Don’t know. That’s the bet. Stay on your toes and keep top of mind that faith was bestowed on both Greenspan and Bernanke also, and that bullish Fed narrative lasted until confidence was lost.

All bubbles eventually pop.

#1 - Where am I going ?

Supreme Court Justice Joseph Blazevic had the reputation of being absent minded. One day on the bus out of Novaki to Karlovac, Joseph was studying a pending case when the conductor asked for his ticket. The jurist searched each pocket nervously, but to no avail.

"Don't be concerned, Mr. Justice Blazevic," the conductor said. "We know who you are. When you return to Novaki, you can send us a ticket at your convenience."

Joseph lowered his eyes and shook his head sadly. "Thank you, my good man, but you don't seem to understand the problem. It's not a question of weather I'll pay the fare. The problem is: Where am I going ?

" I want to thank me " and I wish you do the same for yourself. Healthy, happy and prosperous 2021 !

 I want to thank me.

I want to thank me for believing in me.

I want to thank me for doing this all hard work.

I want to thank me for having no days-off.

I want to thank me for for never quit.

I want to thank me for always being a giver and trying to give more than I receive.

I want to thank me for trying to do more right than wrong.

I want to thank me for just being me at all times.