"Not enough is said about the power of thinking about one topic for a long period of time. If you revisit a topic continually for a few years, most problems (and many solutions) will occur to you at some point. Expertise can be the gradual accumulation of many modest insights."

In summary, the SP-500 chart looks bullish and will stay bullish unless SP-500 closes below 3500.

 The broad market, as measured by SP-500, finally reached a new all-time closing high this week on Tuesday, November 16th. It was unable to hold that level and has now fallen back a bit. In fact, it has closed back below the old September highs of 3588. 

"Whatever the mind can conceive and believe, the mind can achieve."

 

The market remains volatile and -- so far -- within its previous trading range, on a closing basis.

Last Monday, the COVID-19 vaccine news caused SP to gap up on Monday's open.That was the largest percentage gap to a new all-time high in history.

As traders know, there's an old adage to "sell the news," especially if there has been anticipatory buying before "the news." And they did, driving SP back inside its 3200-3600 trading range.

It still seems that a close above the highest prices reached in September -- would be an upside breakout and would have follow-through. So that is near-term resistance. A breakout to the upside would be worth following.

"When valuations are extreme, turns become inevitable, and a small shift in sentiment is often all it takes to initiate a [huge] swing of the pendulum."

In summary, SP-500 is range-bound and volatile.

Election-related or not, the move from the bottom to the top of the SP-500 trading range in just four trading days was impressive. Trading range trading until there is a break-out. The recent moves have pretty much wiped out what had been a support and resistance area so the edges of the range itself are the only meaningful support and resistance currently.

"It's interesting that everything is up today as the dollar tanks [except] oil, and some oil related stocks. That's because investors do not expect actual economic growth that would require more energy, just more stimulus that pumps up asset prices as it sedates the real economy"

What price action to expect after the Election ?

One scenario is for the market to rally after the election. Why? There are three reasons:

• If Biden wins, people can expect a large stimulus package.
• If Trump wins, people can expect favorable business policies to continue.
• Regardless of who wins, everyone will be relieved that it is all over and buy the market.

In summary, there are plenty of cross-currents at this time. The bulls have been wounded but are not dead just yet. However, a close below 3200 by SP-500 would be very negative and would reinforce the bears hold on the market.