Saturday, 14 March 2020

"The main obstacle lies in disentangling ourselves from our own emotions."




'The major trend is down. Oversold conditions are at record levels, though, and so a considerable rally could unfold. But I would expect a retest of the lows after that rally fades. The bulls are used to "V" bottoms for the last 7 or 8 years, but that may be changing finally. Wait for confirmed sell signals, and even then don't chase rallies.'

Saturday, 7 March 2020

Is there any support ?

 $SPX plunged right through the rising 200-day moving average, which was a bit surprising because that usually provides some support on the first test. 
As long as $VIX remains above the 200-day moving average of $VIX, that is a negative for stocks.