Saturday, 14 March 2020
"The main obstacle lies in disentangling ourselves from our own emotions."
'The major trend is down. Oversold conditions are at record levels, though, and so a considerable rally could unfold. But I would expect a retest of the lows after that rally fades. The bulls are used to "V" bottoms for the last 7 or 8 years, but that may be changing finally. Wait for confirmed sell signals, and even then don't chase rallies.'
Thursday, 12 March 2020
Monday, 9 March 2020
"The biggest drop in oil prices since the Gulf War helped things turn from bad to worse, as the S&P 500 lost 7.6% for its worst showing since October 2008. Within the broad index, financials dropped 10% and energy stocks lost 20% (nothing like a one day bear market), while just nine names finished in the green including Autozone, Inc., Dollar Tree, Inc., H&R Block, Inc., Clorox Co. and Dollar General Corp."
Saturday, 7 March 2020
Is there any support ?
$SPX plunged right through the rising 200-day moving average, which was a bit surprising because that usually provides some support on the first test.
As long as $VIX remains above the 200-day moving average of $VIX, that is a negative for stocks.
As long as $VIX remains above the 200-day moving average of $VIX, that is a negative for stocks.
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