A trend-focused trader reflecting on market strategies and personal performance enhancement.
trading
Tuesday, 17 December 2019
"People are never more insecure than when they become obsessed with their fears at the expense of their dreams."
The global risk rally ran out of steam today following four bullish sessions. Volatility remains very low on Wall Street, despite the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's announcement to limit the transition period of the Brexit process, which could increase the risk of a 'hard-Brexit' yet again.
Friday, 13 December 2019
"The cost of borrowing cash overnight on the last day of the year has surged despite the US Federal Reserve’s injection of billions of dollars into markets in an attempt to ease the strain, raising concerns that investors may be in for a volatile final few weeks of 2019."
In summary, the $SP-500 chart is strongly bullish. The only sell signals are from put- call ratios. So if long, stay long and use trailing stops.
Volatility has remained mostly bullish, $VIX remains below 16 on a closing basis and that is bullish.
Saturday, 7 December 2019
Friday, 6 December 2019
Stocks ending week with power following roller-coaster ride.
"The government jobs report was nothing short of spectacular for stock investors, pointing to a textbook 'goldilocks economy' with solid growth and low inflation. Non-farm payrolls increased by 266,000 in November, well above the consensus estimate of 181,000 and last month's revised reading of 156,000. The positive revision in itself is a huge plus for bulls, and the fact that wage growth was a tad lower-than-expected confirms the muted inflationary pressures. The unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 3.5% as well, matching the measure's recent multi-decade low, thanks to the healthy trends in the labour market."
Monday, 2 December 2019
"Politics will pose the biggest risk to financial markets in December, as the U. S.-Chinese relations could have a crucial effect on risk assets, the impeachment process will also enter its next phase, and the British elections could also cause turmoil in the usually quiet month. The strong rally of the past two months could mean that a choppier period is ahead for stocks, and even an orderly pullback may be in the cards despite the positive seasonality statistics of December. The OPEC meeting, which is scheduled for the first week of the month will likely be a tumultuous one, as Saudi Arabia is trying to pressure the cartel to increase the support of the price of oil ahead of the Initial Public Offering (IPO) of the state owned giant, Aramco."
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