"Velocity begets more velocity."

During the bear markets of 2000-2003 and 2007-2008 the Fed was lowering rates. Now in this 2022 bear market the Fed is raising rates and that's the major difference that has the potential to create all sorts of unintended and unexpected consequences.

Historically speaking..........

"The weakest time of the year for the S&P 500 has been from September 6 to October 25."

Under most circumstances, the markets will be either readable or reliable.

"We registered blow off volume around the lows (1) then got some nice upside confirmation volume during the subsequent rally (2) however, better than 10:1 up vs. down volume came back into the market last week (3); an indication that institutions were using strength to sell into."

"During the 2000 bear market the NASDAQ rallied 40%, 28%, 41%, 50% and 36%." All of them nothing more than bear market rallies with very few stock working from breakouts.