“The chart on the screen is the real market, not the one in our heads…”

The huge rally in stocks that began on October 4th, 2019, is in jeopardy. A couple of large down days have broken the steepness of the uptrend, but not the uptrend itself.

So, the $SPX chart is weakening, but hasn't completely capitulated to the bearish case yet. There is resistance at 3340 (the all-time highs) and there is support, as noted, at 3210. So if it continues to bounce around in that range, it would just be "re-generating," but a breakout in either direction should be significant.

Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals.

Market breadth has been poor, and both breadfth oscillators are on sell signals.

$VIX closed above 16 on January 27th, and that gave us the sell signal. This establishes an intermediate- term uptrend in $VIX which will remain intact as long as $VIX continues to close above 15.

So, for the most part part our indicators are bearish, and a "core" bearish position is warranted. An $SPX close below 3200 would add fuel to the fire.

"In summary, it seems as if the market is slowing down, but the indicators are still overwhelmingly bullish, as the only sell signals right now are the put-call ratios and breadth. Thus, it is important to wait for $SPX and $VIX to confirm before attempting to take a strong bearish position."

SP chart is extended, overbought, as are many other indicators, but the bullish trend remains intact. Sell-off gives us a chance to see whether the underlying trend is still strong or not.

                           If VIX closes above 16, that would be a sell signal for stocks.

McClellan Oscillator poked below zero. This could mean a similar pullback to previous pullbacks within an uptrend or the beginning of something deeper.

In summary, the line of least resistance, the trend of the stock market is higher, and we do not have any confirmed sell signals at this time. For this reason, we remain bullish. But the overbought conditions are worrisome and so are the comparisons to January 2018.