End of the quarter.

"Stuck in the middle with you"

Where does the market go from here ?

Technically we have broken the support and the SP-500 chart is negative as we have a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, but...

Should stocks continue lower, Fed will most likely step in with accelerated levels of quantitative easing as they always have since the financial crash of 2008. But even if they don't, Trump can ultimately unlock $300 billion of unused stimulus without congressional approval if need be as he did in early August. During a news conference on September 4, Trump said another $300 billion in unused stimulus aid could be provided if Congress doesn't vote to redirect those funds.

Warning state.

                                                          If the Fed gives up, not good.

Sentiment over SPs

SP-500 closing price below 3300 should be significant, especially on a close below 3280. Unless there is such a breakdown, the SP-500 chart can still be considered to be bullish.

 

The state of the stock market.

From a technical standpoint, the market was extremely over-bought (and continues to be), so a pullback like this is very normal. There are plenty of non-normal things about the market right now, but a rapid pullback after a rapid rise is not one of them. If the pullback keeps going it could turn into another story, but it’s not there yet.

Until SP-500 breaks support at 3280, the SP chart will not be bearish.  If we break support, then a more severe downside move will most likely to follow.

If we don't hold today's low then "all bets are off", but if we do, possible blow-off top is next, stay alert.

"Theory of Reflexivity states that investors don't base decisions on reality, but rather on their perception of reality. The actions that result from these perceptions have an impact on reality which then affects investors' perceptions and thus prices."

Nasdaq exploring new high ground.

Nasdaq rallies into new high ground, but fewer and fewer stocks are supporting the rally. The % of Nasdaq stocks above their own 50-dma has been diverging as it did before market pullbacks in February 2019 and March 2020. "This suggests you should sell into a melt up"