Gold is now the most overbought it has ever been in history on a monthly basis using the RSI (relative strength indicator) at 91.6

 

Important message for Crypto leveraged traders. Don't kill yourself.

I've been where you are. I've felt that sick pit in your stomach, that desperate wish to rewind time. I've lost it all before, and I know exactly how dark this moment feels.

Here's what I need you to hear: You are not your account balance.

Right now, your mind keeps replaying what happened, but that's just our primal wiring trying to protect us. You don't have to keep torturing yourself with it. In Buddhism, they say the first arrow hurts—but we don't need to shoot ourselves with the second, third, and fourth arrows. You can choose to stop reliving the pain.

What truly matters can't be taken away. Your health, the people who love you, your ability to learn and rebuild—none of that is gone. You still hold the most valuable thing: agency over your future.

I know that sounds hollow now, but I promise—you will get through this. Every terrible thing you've survived in life also felt permanent at the time. You made it through those, and you'll make it through this too.

What to do right now:

Get off the screens. Stop looking at charts, scrolling social media, or reading about what happened. Go outside. Feel the sun. Move your body. Call someone you trust. The world keeps turning, and you're still here.

Forgive yourself. Everyone chasing those insane gains you saw others post thought they were making smart moves. The loudest braggers often lose quietly. You weren't stupid—you were human.

Learn this lesson once. If there's any gift in this pain, it's understanding: leverage kills, diversification matters, and you only need to get rich once. Never let yourself be here again.

If you weren't caught in this, consider yourself lucky and learn from observing. Check your exposure. Question your overconfidence. The market will eventually surprise everyone.

The truth about rebuilding:

If you've built something once, you can build it again. The skills, the experience, the resilience—that's still yours. Your net worth may have crashed, but your self-worth did not.

Take this weekend to breathe. To rest. To remember that life is bigger than any trade. You have so much time ahead.

You still have agency. You still have tomorrow. That's everything.

Be safe, take care of yourself, and know—you will be okay.

Revised Perspective on Recent Momentum

Recent market dynamics have validated the focus on the 2-4 week window as a pivotal period for strategic positioning. However, the emphasis shifts from entry opportunities to disciplined exit management, where effective navigation can safeguard gains amid heightened sentiment.

Potential Market Paths

Markets at current euphoria levels (8.5-9/10) often exhibit two common trajectories, each requiring proactive risk management:

Path A: Climactic Surge Followed by Reversal

Leaders may experience sharp, volume-driven advances, potentially 20-30% in the near term, before a swift pullback.

Guidance: Consider scaling out of positions during periods of strength to lock in profits, rather than relying solely on protective stops. This approach mitigates the risk of erosion in a rapid downturn.

Path B: Gradual Distribution

Select leaders, such as those in quantum computing sectors already showing signs of exhaustion, may initiate breakdowns, with broader indices following suit shortly thereafter.

Guidance: Adhere to mechanical stops (e.g., moving averages) to facilitate orderly exits into cash, positioning for subsequent re-entry on stabilization.

In both cases, a moderation in overall euphoria to 5-6/10 levels could foster healthier consolidations, resetting sentiment and revealing fresh breakout candidates.

Key Lesson from Historical Precedents

The Q1 2021 cycle illustrates this dynamic clearly: Traders who methodically reduced exposure during January-February peaks and re-engaged on the March retracement preserved and compounded capital. In contrast, those who chased extended rallies into the subsequent decline faced significant drawdowns. This underscores the value of sentiment-aware positioning over relentless accumulation.

Your Current Advantages

Positioned effectively, you benefit from:

• Awareness of Sentiment Extremes — Recognizing 8.5-9/10 levels provides a critical filter, absent for many participants

• Established Holdings — Assets like OKLO, IONQ, and TSLA, if aligned with your criteria, represent realized edges

• Robust Framework — Tools such as moving average stops and partial profit-taking enforce consistency

• Proactive Vigilance — Daily scanning reinforces adaptive decision-making

Essential Discipline for Preservation

To leverage these strengths:

• Scale into cash during rallies, even amid lingering upside potential

• Embrace sidelined positions to counter FOMO, prioritizing capital integrity

• Monitor for sentiment resets, which may unfold over 3-4 weeks, before pursuing new setups

Core Principle: Capital Preservation as the Foundation

At peak euphoria, the scanner’s primary role is protection—filtering noise to avoid overextension—rather than generating buy signals. True opportunities arise post-reset, when consolidations yield clearer edges at 6-7/10 sentiment levels. By focusing on exits now, you maintain flexibility to capitalize on the next cycle’s momentum.

Stalk patiently. Strike decisively. Move fast.

TOP 10 Momentum Breakout Watchlist

Rank	Stock (Ticker)	Sector/Theme	Tech Score	Fundament Score	Overall Score
1	Oklo (OKLO)	Nuclear/SMR	9	8	9
2	Quantum Computing (QUBT)	Quantum/AI	8	7	8
3	Opendoor (OPEN)	AI/Fintech	8	7	8
4	Centrus Energy (LEU)	Nuclear	8	7	8
5	SoundHound AI (SOUN)	AI/ML	7	7	7
6	Robinhood (HOOD)	Crypto/Fintech	7	8	7
7	NuScale Power (SMR)	Nuclear/SMR	7	7	7
8	CoreWeave (CRWV)	AI Cloud	7	6	7
9	Nano Nuclear Energy (NNE)	Nuclear	7	6	7
10	Palantir Technologies (PLTR)	AI/ML	7	6	7